Challenge statement
Challenge type: If you are working on multiple challenges, please indicate if this is your "big bet" or "exploratory" challenge.
Please note: we ask you to only submit a maximum of 3 challenges - 1x Big Bet, 2x Exploratory. Each challenge must be submitted individually.
EXPLORATORY
Challenge statement: What is your challenge? (Please answer in specific terms: "Our challenge is that...”.)
Our challenge is to lower the high entry barriers to Circular Economy investments and practices, enabling broader participation and accelerating their implementation.
Background: What is the history of your challenge? What is causing or driving it? Who is involved? How does the current situation look like? What undesired effects does it produce?
In Guatemala, investing in circular economy initiatives presents both immense potential and significant barriers. The high upfront costs required for infrastructure and technology make these investments accessible only to wealthy investors or governments capable of securing large loans. Projects such as hydroelectric dams, water treatment plants, recycling facilities, as well as environmentally friendly production of food and other goods or services highlight the challenge.
For example, constructing a hydroelectric dam can cost millions of dollars, and while it is profitable and in the long term, the immediate benefits are often concentrated in specific stakeholders, such as energy companies, while the social and environmental costs -like displacement or ecosystem disruption- fall on local communities. This asymmetry in benefits frequently results in resistance, as seen with several hydroelectric projects in Guatemala that were vandalized or opposed by communities who felt excluded from their benefits.
Similarly, smaller-scale circular economy efforts, like waste recycling facilities or sustainable agriculture projects, face financial hurdles. A small community recycling center, for example, can cost tens of thousands of dollars to establish, requiring land acquisition, machinery, and operational costs. Yet, the immediate financial returns are often slow, and the benefits -such as reduced environmental pollution- are spread across broader society rather than providing direct, tangible gains to individual contributors. This creates a collective action problem: individuals or small groups are unlikely to invest unless there are immediate returns and guarantees that others will also contribute.
Compounding this challenge is the tendency for financing to support consumption rather than investment. For instance, remittances in Guatemala are often used to expand homes or purchase consumer goods rather than fund productive, sustainable projects like composting centers or irrigation systems. These consumption-driven choices limit the creation of shared assets that could yield long-term environmental and economic benefits.
The advent of blockchain technology introduces a transformative opportunity to overcome these barriers through tokenization. Tokenization allows large-scale investments to be divided into smaller, tradable digital tokens, enabling broader participation and ownership. Globally, we have seen initial applications of blockchain in renewable energy projects, such as tokenizing solar farms, where individuals can buy tokens representing a share of the energy produced. In Guatemala, early steps have been taken to tokenize real estate and solar panel production projects. For instance, local developers are experimenting with tokenized ownership of solar installations, allowing individuals to invest in a fraction of the panels and receive returns proportional to the energy generated. This model democratizes access, reduces reliance on single high-capital investors, and ensures that benefits are shared more equitably.
Adding to these developments, artificial intelligence (AI) has begun to play a critical role in addressing the challenges of circular economy investments. AI-powered systems can enhance the efficiency and scalability of circular economy projects by optimizing operations and identifying opportunities for cost reduction. For example, AI algorithms can analyze energy usage in solar farms or irrigation systems, ensuring optimal performance and reducing waste. AI-driven predictive analytics can also help entrepreneurs and investors better understand market trends and assess the financial viability of projects, making investments less risky and more attractive.
Moreover, AI technologies can bridge gaps in trust and transparency, which are key barriers to collaborative investments in Guatemala. Smart contracts integrated with AI can automatically verify compliance with agreements, distribute benefits equitably, and resolve disputes based on predefined rules, reducing reliance on Guatemala’s often weak justice system. Additionally, AI-driven platforms can improve accessibility by creating personalized user experiences and simplifying complex tokenization systems, making them easier for non-technical users to adopt.
Despite these promising developments, challenges remain. Tokenization and AI technologies are not yet practical for widespread use. Legal frameworks and tax regulations for digital assets are unclear, and business models that ensure profitability and scalability for circular economy projects need to be refined. Moreover, community adoption depends on addressing the asymmetry of costs and benefits. For example, in an apartment building, installing solar panels requires upfront contributions from all residents, but the benefits, such as lower energy costs, may not be equally distributed unless mechanisms are in place to ensure fair participation and returns.
A practical starting point for tokenized investments in Guatemala could be small-scale food production and waste management projects. Composting facilities or community irrigation systems, for instance, are manageable in scale and directly benefit the communities that participate in them. Tokenization could allow individuals to collectively fund these projects, ensuring shared ownership and returns. Paired with AI-driven optimization and management tools, these projects could maximize their efficiency and impact while fostering trust and equitable participation.
By integrating blockchain and AI technologies, Guatemala can unlock the potential of circular economy investments, creating a more inclusive, sustainable future while ensuring that the costs and benefits of these initiatives are shared more fairly across society. Together, these technologies provide powerful tools to address longstanding barriers, foster innovation, and drive the transition toward a regenerative economy.
Quantitative evidence: What (official) data sources do you have on this challenge that better exemplifies the importance and urgency of this frontier challenge? You can add text, a link, or a picture.
[PENDING]
Qualitative evidence: What weak signals have you recently spotted that characterizes its urgency? Please provide qualitative information that better exemplifies the importance and urgency of this frontier challenge. You can add text, a link, or a picture.
In Guatemala, adopting circular economy practices is filled with challenges rooted in financial, social, and systemic barrier. At the center of the issue are the high upfront costs associated with circular economy projects, such as building composting facilities, water treatment plants, or recycling centers, as well as adopting energy-saving technologies like solar panels or irrigation systems.
These initiatives require significant capital, which is largely inaccessible to the majority of the population. The financial system favors large capital owners who can secure loans, while ordinary citizens face high interest rates and limited financing options. This disparity perpetuates a cycle in which only those with liquidity can invest in sustainability, leaving the broader population excluded from participating in or benefiting from these projects.
Access to financing for such investments is further complicated by Guatemala’s high levels of insecurity and uncertainty about the future. Without a robust social security system or widespread formal employment, most people prioritize short-term consumption over long-term savings or investment. For many, saving money is not an option, because there is no safety net to rely on in times of need. Instead, people channel their earnings into immediate experiences, such as dining out or purchasing consumer goods like clothing and electronics. Remittances, which constitute a major source of income for many families, are often used to buy vehicles, expand or renovate homes, or travel. While land purchases are culturally valued as a way to safeguard savings, this practice “parks” capital rather than circulating it productively within the economy, further limiting opportunities for collective investment in sustainable projects.
Another significant barrier is the pervasive lack of trust in Guatemala’s social and institutional structures. Interpersonal trust is low, making it difficult for individuals to embark on joint investments or collaborate on collective ventures. This is exacerbated by a weak justice system that struggles to enforce contracts or resolve disputes, creating additional risks for those considering cooperative efforts. While cooperatives provide some degree of trusted financial services, their scope is largely limited to saving and lending, and they do not facilitate more complex investment ventures, such as financing for circular economy projects.
The absence of clear and predictable business models for circular economy investments also deters participation. Projects like composting facilities, recycling plants, or agricultural waste management systems often lack reliable revenue streams or well-stablished frameworks for generating returns. Potential investors are hesitant to commit resources without a clear understanding of how these projects will become profitable. This uncertainty further compounds the challenges for those seeking to implement sustainable practices.
Adding to these issues is the difficulty of adopting and implementing the necessary technologies. Circular economy projects often require integrating multiple systems, such as blockchain-based tools for tokenization or energy efficient technologies, which demand a level of technical expertise that is not widely available. The lack of prepackaged, user-friendly solutions means that individuals and organizations must navigate complex technological processes, which can be a significant barrier, particularly in rural or underserved areas with limited digital literacy.
Artificial intelligence (AI) offers potential to address several of these challenges but also highlights additional gaps in adoption. AI systems can optimize operations for circular economy projects, such as managing energy consumption in solar installations or improving the efficiency of recycling processes. AI-driven predictive analytics can also identify market trends, help businesses assess project viability, and guide decision-making, reducing risks for potential investors. However, the integration of AI requires technical infrastructure, skilled professionals, and significant upfront investment—all of which are limited in Guatemala. Furthermore, the cultural and institutional gaps that hinder blockchain adoption, such as low trust and weak legal enforcement, also apply to AI, making its deployment challenging in collaborative or community-focused projects.
The broader cultural context also plays a role. In Guatemala, there is limited awareness of the long-term benefits of circular economy practices, and many people view sustainability as an additional cost rather than an opportunity. This mindset, coupled with the economic necessity of prioritizing immediate needs, makes it difficult to shift behavior toward more sustainable practices. Informal markets, which dominate much of the economy, further complicate efforts to scale up circular economy initiatives, as affordability and short-term gains often take precedence over efficiency or sustainability.
Finally, Guatemala’s policy and regulatory environment does little to encourage circular economy investments. There are few incentives, such as tax breaks or subsidies, to support sustainable initiatives. Moreover, the legal framework for innovative financial instruments, like blockchain-based tokenization or AI-enhanced investment models, is underdeveloped, creating uncertainty for those looking to implement these solutions. Tokenization offers the potential to democratize access to circular economy investments by dividing large projects into smaller, tradable digital tokens that enable broader participation. AI can further enhance these models by improving decision-making, streamlining processes, and offering transparency. Early efforts in Guatemala, such as tokenizing solar panel production or real estate assets, demonstrate the potential of these technologies. However, the lack of clarity around legal contracts, taxes, and business models makes it difficult to scale these efforts effectively.
At its core, the challenge of adopting circular economy practices in Guatemala is a complex web of financial, cultural, and systemic barriers. High costs, limited access to financing, social distrust, technological gaps, and policy shortcomings all converge to create a landscape where sustainable investments remain out of reach for most people. Addressing these barriers will require coordinated efforts to provide better financing mechanisms, build trust, develop clear business models, and make technology—including blockchain and AI—more accessible. Without such changes, the promise of a circular economy will remain unrealized, and the long-term benefits of sustainability will continue to be overshadowed by short-term priorities.
The adoption of circular economy practices in Guatemala remains limited, despite their increasing necessity in the face of environmental degradation and pollution. The country’s reliance on nature-based products, such as agriculture and forestry, makes sustainable practices critical. However, pollution, deforestation, and poor waste management continue to degrade the natural resources on which these industries depend, threatening both environmental health and economic stability.
Circular economy practices, while essential, are difficult to adopt due to a combination of factors. A lack of knowledge about their benefits and implementation, high upfront costs, and low perceived immediate returns create significant barriers. Most small business as and individuals do not see the long-term advantages of sustainability if it means incurring additional expenses or shifting away from traditional methods. As a result, these practices are often deprioritized in favor of maintaining short-term affordability and efficiency.
Guatemala’s high levels of informality in business and employment futher complicate efforts to integrate circular economy principles. Informal entrepreneurs, who constitute a significant portion of the economy, typically operate with limited resources and focus on minimizing costs to stay competitive. They are unlikely to invest in new technologies or practices unless these are low-cost, easy to adopt, and provide clear and immediate benefits. The weak state institutions and fragmented regulatory environment make top-down approaches, such as mandates or subsidies, challenging to enforce. Instead, successful adoption will depend on user-driven approaches that demonstrate tangible advantages for individuals and small businesses.
Overall, the current state of circular economy adoption in Guatemala highlights the need for targeted efforts to address knowledge gaps, lower costs, and create incentives for user-driven adoption. The urgency of environmental degradation and the economic reliance on natural resources make this a critical moment to rethink how circular economy practices can be integrated into the country’s informal and resource-constrained economy. Without such efforts, Guatemala risks further environmental and economic instability, with diminishing opportunities to leverage sustainable practices for long-term resilience.
The failure to accelerate the adoption of circular economy practices in Guatemala has significant consequences. While Guatemala’s contribution to global climate change is negligible, the country faces increasing vulnerability to the effects of climate change, particularly the growing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. Environmental degradation exacerbates this vulnerability, making it much harder for the country to adapt effectively. Without sustainable practices, the resilience of ecosystems and communities is further undermined, leaving Guatemala ill-equipped to cope with the impacts of climate change. Environmental degradation has already begun to compromise access to natural resources that are vital for the economy, food production, and societal functioning. Deforestation, water pollution, soil contamination, and declining air quality are creating cascading challenges across multiple sectors. The availability of clean water is particularly critical and increasingly precarious. Watersheds and rivers are polluted at alarming rates, threatening both rural and urban communities’ access to clean water for drinking, agriculture, and industry. Similarly, the pollution and depletion of soil resources are undermining the country’s agricultural productivity, a strategic resource for Guatemala’s economy and food security. The consequences of poor waste management are also mounting. Existing dump sites are nearing or have already reached capacity, collapsing under the strain of unchecked waste production. The lack of functional infrastructure for waste treatment and recycling is accelerating environmental damage and creating immediate health and safety risks for nearby communities. If these issues remain unaddressed, the capacity of Guatemala’s environment to sustain its population will continue to decline, jeopardizing long-term development. Even if circular economy practices are adopted, the current financial and social systems risk excluding large segments of the population from participating in or benefiting from the transition. Under the existing framework, circular economy investments are primarily accessible to wealthy investors or larger organizations, leaving out small businesses and lower-income communities. These groups are often unable or unwilling to bear the upfront costs or the operational burdens associated with adopting sustainable practices. This inequitable distribution of costs and benefits creates significant social tensions, particularly when individuals and communities are expected to adapt without adequate support or access to the opportunities created by the transition. This dynamic as the potential to fuel social conflict, as communities resist measures they perceive as unjust or overly burdensome. For instance, limitations on waste disposal or water use imposed without corresponding access to sustainable alternatives could spark widespread discontent. Similarly, if the economic benefits of circular economy practices are concentrated among a privileged few, public support for the transition will erode, further polarizing society and hindering progress. In sum, delaying the adoption of circular economy practices exacerbates Guatemala’s vulnerability to climate change, depletes the natural resources that underpin its economy and society, and increases the likelihood of social conflict. Addressing these undesired effects requires not only accelerating the adoption of sustainable practices but also ensuring that the transition is equitable, inclusive, and supported by systems that enable all segments of society to participate and benefit. Without those measures, Guatemala risks deepening its environmental, economic, and social challenges, making adaptation to an increasingly volatile world even more difficult.

Value proposition: What added value or unique value proposition is your Accelerator Lab bringing to solving this challenge? Why is it your Lab that needs to work on this challenge and not other actors within UNDP, other stakeholders in the country respectively? Why is it worth investing resources to this challenge?
The Accelerator Lab has a privileged position to research and develop innovative solutions that leverage emerging technologies. Leveraging emerging technologies requires learning about their use and applicability, which is not a linear path with predefined activities.
Short “tweet” summary: We would like to tweet what you are working on, can you summarize your challenge in a maximum of 280 characters?
UNDP's Accelerator Lab in Guatemala is advancing circular economy adoption by leveraging blockchain to democratize investments and AI to optimize solutions, empowering communities to lead sustainable transformation. #CircularEconomy #Innovation #Blockchain #AI.
Partners
Who are your top 5 partners for this challenge? Please submit from MOST to LEAST important and state Name, Sector and a brief description of the (intended) collaboration.
Please state the name of the partner:
UNDP Environment Programatic Area and Related Projects
What sector does our partner belong to?
United Nations
Please provide a brief description of the collaboration.
The UNDP Environment Programmatic Area, including initiatives like the Small Donations Program and the Volcanoes Project, provides a critical foundation for implementing circular economy projects. These programs focus on locations with small businesses eager to adopt circular economy practices. Moreover, they serve as a bridge to public institutions, facilitating collaboration and ensuring the project aligns with national sustainability priorities.
Is this a new and unusual partner for UNDP?
No
Who are your top 5 partners for this challenge? Please submit from MOST to LEAST important and state Name, Sector and a brief description of the (intended) collaboration.
Please state the name of the partner:
Asociación de BlockChain de Guatemala
What sector does our partner belong to?
Civil Society
Please provide a brief description of the collaboration.
Blockchain specialist are essential for guiding the technical implementation of tokenization. They provide the expertise needed to design and deploy secure, efficient blockchain systems that enable broader participation in circular economy investments. Their work ensures that the technology is accessible and effective for all stakeholders.
Is this a new and unusual partner for UNDP?
Yes
Who are your top 5 partners for this challenge? Please submit from MOST to LEAST important and state Name, Sector and a brief description of the (intended) collaboration.
Please state the name of the partner:
Small businesses (Recycling and Reforestation)
What sector does our partner belong to?
Private Sector
Please provide a brief description of the collaboration.
Small businesses are both the primary beneficiaries and key collaborators in this project. Their firsthand understanding of the challenges and opportunities of adopting circular economy practices makes them invaluable partners in designing and refining solutions. Their participation ensures the project is grounded in real-world needs and delivers actionable benefits.
Is this a new and unusual partner for UNDP?
No
Who are your top 5 partners for this challenge? Please submit from MOST to LEAST important and state Name, Sector and a brief description of the (intended) collaboration.
Please state the name of the partner:
Legal and Financial Counseling Partners
What sector does our partner belong to?
Academia
Please provide a brief description of the collaboration.
Legal experts play a crucial role in navigating Guatemala’s regulatory landscape. They ensure compliance with local laws, help resolve barriers to implementing smart contracts and provide guidance on structuring tokenized investments. Their work is vital for creating a secure and trustworthy framework for circular economy initiatives. Financial advisors and institutions contribute expertise on developing and adapting financial models to support circular economy practices. They assist in identifying funding opportunities, designing scalable investment models, and exploring how automation and AI can streamline the process of identifying and implementing these opportunities.
Is this a new and unusual partner for UNDP?
Yes
Learning questions
Learning question: What is your learning question for this challenge? What do you need to know or understand to work on your challenge statement?
How can blockchain technology, leveraging security tokens, be effectively utilized to lower barriers to investment and accelerate the adoption of circular economy practices?
To what stage(s) in the learning cycle does your learning question relate?
Sense, Explore, Test
Usage of methods: Relating to your choice above, how will you use your methods & tools for this learning question? What value do these add in answering your learning question?
Prototyping. Prototyping will be central to exploring how blockchain technology, through security tokens, can lower barriers to investments in circular economy practices. Small-scale prototypes will test key functionalities, such as tokenization, user interfaces, and smart contracts, in practical applications like tokenizing a composting facility or recycling center. This iterative process will identify technical and operational challenges early, enabling refinements based on real-world feedback.
Co-design. Co-design will actively engage stakeholders, including small businesses, blockchain experts, legal advisors, and community members, in the solution development process. Collaborative workshops will ensure the tools and systems are user-centered, addressing specific needs sch as ease of use, regulatory compliance, and accessible financial models. Co-design fosters trust, ownership, and alignment with stakeholder priorities.
System mapping. System mapping will visualize the interconnected ecosystem of stakeholders, resources, and challenges related to circular economy investments. By identifying leverage points, inefficiencies, and relationships, this method will guide the integration of blockchain technology where it can have the greatest impact.
Behavioral insights. Understanding user behavior and motivations is critical to adoption. Behavioral insights will be gathered through surveys interviews and testing to explore perceptions of blockchain-based investments and identify incentives that encourage participation. This knowledge will inform the design of solutions that align with user needs and reduce resistance.
Existing data gaps: Relating to your choice above, what existing gaps in data or information do these new sources of data addressing? What value do these add in answering your learning question?
User-Generated Data: Data collected from users of blockchain-based systems or circular economy initiatives, such as transaction logs, platform interactions, or feedback through apps. This data provides real-time insight into user behavior, adoption patterns, and engagement, enabling interactive improvements.
Behavioral analytics data: Data derived from user interactions with prototypes or pilots, such as clickstream data, time spent on tasks, or choices made in decision-support tools. Behavioral analytics offers valuable information about how users navigate the system, what features they prioritize, and where they encounter difficulties.
Sensor Data: Data collected from IoT devices or sensors placed in circular economy projects, such as waste management facilities or energy production sites. Examples include real-time measurements of water or air quality, waste volumes, or energy generation efficiency. These data sources provide metrics to assess the environmental impact and performance of circular economy initiatives.
Block-chain transaction data: Data from blockchain platforms, including token transactions, smart contract executions, and decentralized investment flows. This data can be analyzed to understand participation rates, financial flows, and the scalability of tokenized investments in circular economy practices.
Comments
Log in to add a comment or reply.