Disclaimer:
Please be aware that the content herein has not been peer reviewed. It consists of personal reflections, insights, and learnings of the contributor(s). It may not be exhaustive, nor does it aim to be authoritative knowledge.
Learnings on your challenge
What are the top key insights you generated about your learning challenge during this Action Learning Plan? (Please list a maximum of 5 key insights)
Even though our work cycle on AI is still at an early stage, we can highlight some key insights regarding the role of AI as a tool for supporting political consensus and for advancing democracy in general. Thus, from what we learned during this cycle, we can point out the following:
- AI and polarization: With the help of AI, presidential speeches can be used as raw material for political consensus. Various studies demonstrate the effects that certain AI algorithms have on the dissemination and replication of discourses and content that exacerbate divisions and political polarization (Van Bavel et al., 2021). However, explorations regarding alternative uses aiming for opposite results, that is, emphasizing shared values and consensus-building, are still scarce. Departing from identifying the issues and topics that are common to all mandataries, regardless of any political differences, generative AI can create speech pieces highlighting points of consensus. This opens the opportunity to advance work/investigation agendas that go beyond the view of political speeches as vehicles of inflammatory sentiments and disunity.
- Human-machine interaction: Generative AI is not a silver bullet. To obtain quality outputs, the process of generating speeches with AI required a great deal of human intervention. Most importantly, human decision-making was the essential element behind the process. We decided what speeches were worth using for training the AI, what semantic fields the AI should look at, and when to penalize the AI for its mistakes. Additionally, the process of using AI has required the interplay of the skills of all the members of our team. From political science, data analytics, programming, discourse analysis, political history, all are skills our team have put into practice.
- Not all that new. Technology with a past and learning from other regulatory models: Even though the launch of AI tools such as ChatGPT has created a whole new hype around the topic, the technology is not new, nor are the regulatory efforts. The developments in AI that we are seeing today are the continuation of a path that can even be traced back to the Middle Ages and it has to do with the long-standing interest of using technology for creating augmented intelligence. Moreover, it is not the first time that governments and societies deal with the issue of regulating technology. Thus, learning and adapting mechanisms can be set in relation to regulations in other fields. Regulatory models from industries such as pharmaceuticals, aviation, or nuclear can serve as valuable examples. By studying and adapting these frameworks, we can develop effective approaches to regulating AI.
- Not yet a national and regional ecosystem: The contact with experts has shown us that, in our country, several AI projects are being developed but with little connections between researchers and practitioners at a national level, as well as few instances of collaboration with colleagues within the region. AI in Argentina is not on the public agenda. There are excellent experts, many of whom are internationally recognized, but there is no convergence among them. There is also no cohesive ecosystem that can help define the country's strategic priorities for integrating AI with its development. From the government's perspective, conversation about AI is not a priority. There have been few efforts in terms of strategy and regulation, and what little has been done lacks continuity between one government and the next.
- Geopolitical concerns: There are specific geopolitical concerns in relation to the development of AI; for instance, there are fears that the increasing competition between global powers will trigger a process of technological nationalism. As it happened during the Cold War, barriers to the free flow of hardware, software and know-how can be put into action. This poses a significant risk for developing countries, especially those reliant on foreign technology for their development.
Considering the outcomes of this learning challenge, which of the following best describe the handover process? (Please select all that apply)
Our work has not yet scaled
Can you provide more detail on your handover process?
Building on what we already accomplished, we aim to keep scaling up our AI portfolio. We are working on a knowledge product that further explores how AI can be used for analyzing common values across different presidents and periods of time. Additionally, we are developing others knowledge products related to employment in the era of AI, and regulations on AI.
We hope to engage in conversations with further private partners, and civil society organizations to promote a greater reach of our actions regarding AI. Furthermore, we plan to approach the newly elected national authorities to share our work, hoping to engage them in our challenge.
Please paste any link(s) to blog(s) or publication(s) that articulate the learnings on your frontier challenge.
Programa de Naciones Unidas para el Desarrollo [PNUD] (2023). IA: Inteligencia Argentina. https://www.undp.org/es/argentina/proyectos/ia-inteligencia-argentina
Programa de Naciones Unidas para el Desarrollo [PNUD] (2023). Mucho en Común: Explorando los temas de los 40 Años de Democracia Argentina a través de IA. https://inteligenciaargentina.org/
Moscovich, L., Vallejo Vera, S., Alzú, M.S., Gómez, F., Zapata, M. y Moreno, M. V. (2023). Mucho en común. Los temas y el discurso de la democracia en sus 40 años. Buenos Aires: PNUD. Disponible en: https://www.undp.org/es/argentina/publicaciones/informe-ia-inteligencia-argentina
Moscovich, L.. y De Rosa, A. (2023, October 9). Episode II. What do Argentines talk about when we talk about AI? (an example). UNDP Argentina. Available at https://www.undp.org/es/argentina/blog/episode-ii-what-do-argentines-talk-about-when-we-talk-about-ai-example
Moscovich, L., y De Rosa, A. (2 de octubre de 2023). Episodio II. ¿De qué hablamos los argentinos cuando hablamos de IA? (un botón de muestra). PNUD Argentina. Disponible en https://www.undp.org/es/argentina/blog/episodio-ii-de-que-hablamos-los-argentinos-cuando-hablamos-de-ia-un-boton-de-muestra
Moscovich, L. (2023, September 1).AI: Argentine Intelligence. A Conversation about Artificial Intelligence: Episode I: Anyone Can Cook, and Use AI! UNDP Argentina. Available at https://www.undp.org/es/argentina/blog/ai-argentine-intelligence-conversation-about-artificial-intelligence
Moscovich, L. (1 de septiembre de 2023). IA: Inteligencia Argentina. Una conversación sobre la inteligencia artificial: Episodio I. Todos pueden cocinar ¡y usar IA! PNUD Argentina. Disponible en https://www.undp.org/es/argentina/blog/ia-inteligencia-argentina-una-conversacion-sobre-la-inteligencia-artificial
Data and Methods
Relating to your types of data, why did you chose these? What gaps in available data were these addressing?
This work is not only a proof of concept; it is also a prototype for testing the potential of AI to support democratic governance. The action plan is comprehensive, involving stakeholder mapping, interviews with key informants, blogs, and this specific application. The long-term ambition is to leverage collective intelligence to identify past and future plans for AI and to work towards regulating the technology to balance its possibilities and risks.
We developed a specific code to train ChatGPT Plus to analyze texts. To generate the unified speech and analyses of the different topics, we trained an AI model using ChatGPT Plus, which analyzes the shared points and values among the speeches. Additionally, the frequency and associations of 27 topics of public and strategic policy for the country were analyzed, exploring how often they appeared in connection with specific ideas and concepts. The results demonstrate quality and consistency in the outputs at different model specifications, such as temperature (how deterministic or liberal the speech is), frequency penalty (how much repetition is allowed), and various prompts (how much more or less specific the responses are). Therefore, these findings could enable the application of these models to the generation of fictional text in survey experiments (vignettes) and the evaluation of a voter's ability to differentiate between text generated by humans and computers. This is relevant for studies on the proliferation of fake news in political campaigns. We choose them to have a better understating of the state of the art uses of AI for democracy, as well as what the possibilities and limitations are in relation with this technological tool. In regards to the interviews and review of specialized sources, we were able to identify the uses of AI for political consensus as an original field worth exploring. In addition, the data gathered led us to obtain a clearer understanding of the technical nuances of AI that could have an impact on democracy.
The public launch of ChatGPT has intensified the discussions on AI. Open letters, research papers, and opinion pieces are being published daily, so much so that it is hard to keep track of all new developments in the discussion. Thus, we also choose our data as an effort for fulfilling the need of having a moment of convergence regarding what is been discussed in relation to AI, especially in our country
Why was it necessary to apply the above innovation method on your frontier challenge? How did these help you to unpack the system?
Exploring is a suitable method for building a robust foundation from which start working the relation between AI and democracy. It helps to have a sense of state-of-the-art of the technology, while paying attention to emergent patterns.
On the other hand, testing is a perfect method for designing a novel application of AI and evaluating its strong points and weaknesses. Thus, we hope to create powerful evidence of potential uses of AI for democracy.
Partners
Please indicate what partners you have actually worked with for this learning challenge.
Please state the name of the partner:
Sadosky Foundation, FUNDAR Foundation, DataGenero Foundation
What sector does your partner belong to?
Civil Society
Please provide a brief description of the partnership.
We are having interviews with members of civil society organizations that are currently approaching AI from different perspectives. Some are working in the field of bid data and computer sciences, such as Dr. Fernando Schapachnik, current director of Sadosky Foundation, and Dr. Daniel Yankelevich, director of the data area of FUNDAR Foundation. We have also been in contact with Dr. Luciana Benotti and Dr. Laura Alemany, members of ViaLibre Foundation, who are concerned with the ethical development of AI. Additionally, we have interviewed Ms. Ivanna Feldfeber, co-founder and executive officer of DataGenero, an organization approaching AI from a gender perspective; Juan Manuel Garcia, Research Coordinator of Derechos Digitales, an organization aimed at advancing human rights within digital contexts. From the interviews, we are drawing insights and indicators of patterns of development of AI.
Is this a new and unusual partner for UNDP?
Yes
Please indicate what partners you have actually worked with for this learning challenge.
Please state the name of the partner:
Experts and San Andrés University
What sector does your partner belong to?
Academia
Please provide a brief description of the partnership.
Our interviews include researchers and scholars working on AI. Some belong to public institutions, such as public universities or the national body for search (CONICET, for its Spanish acronym); other work within private universities. As it happens with civil society organizations, the profile of the academic partners we are working with is diverse. We have maintained conversations with natural language specialists, philosophers, big data and statistic specialists, computer scientists, among others. We have been in touch with Dr. Carolina Aguerre and Maia Levy Daniel, both connected to the Center for Studies in Technology and Society based at the University of San Andrés; also, with Dr. Enzo Tagliazucchi and Dr. Olga Cavalli, both connected to the National University of Buenos Aires. As mentioned before, from the interviews, we are drawing insights and indicators of patterns of development of AI.
In November of 2023, together with San Andrés University, we organized a free and open seminar on AI and development. We invited experts, practitioners, and policymakers to discuss how AI can have a positive impact on sectors such as health, justice, government and business. Challenges and risks were also discussed.
Is this a new and unusual partner for UNDP?
Yes
Please indicate what partners you have actually worked with for this learning challenge.
Please state the name of the partner:
Citibeats, Humai, and MultiplAI
What sector does your partner belong to?
Private Sector
Please provide a brief description of the partnership.
Together with Citibeats, a social listening company, we conducted a study regarding what people in the country are thinking and saying in social media about AI. Humai (a learning platform) and MultiplAI Health (a startup that uses AI for health diagnoses) are private partners that we invited to take part in the seminar we organized to discuss the impact of AI on development. For the rest of the cycle, we hope to engage in conversations with other private partners, Eryx (software company) and Stämm (biotechnology company), to promote a greater reach of our portfolio of actions regarding AI.
Is this a new and unusual partner for UNDP?
Yes
Please indicate what partners you have actually worked with for this learning challenge.
Please state the name of the partner:
Subsecretary of Public Innovation
What sector does your partner belong to?
Government (&related)
Please provide a brief description of the partnership.
We maintained conversations with the Subsecretary of Public Innovation responsible for some of the preliminary regulations on AI in the country. Beyond this contact, we intend to approach the new national authorities. The country celebrated national elections at the end of 2023 and a new government has been elected. Once it becomes clear what the next administration will dictate regarding AI, we plan to approach the new authorities to share our work, hoping to engage them in our challenge
Is this a new and unusual partner for UNDP?
Yes
Please indicate what partners you have actually worked with for this learning challenge.
Please state the name of the partner:
UNDP, and Office of the Secretary-General's Envoy on Technology
What sector does your partner belong to?
United Nations
Please provide a brief description of the partnership.
In our cycle, we have made sure to include instances open to feedback from other areas within UNDP Argentina. For example, the code books fields used for the AI were created in collaboration between the Co_Lab and the program area of UNDP. Also, the outputs of the generative AI have been open to the consideration of the other UNDP areas. Additionally, we responded to the open call to present nominees to the High Advisory Body on Artificial Intelligence launched by the Office of the Secretary-General's Envoy on Technology. We were able to submit nominations for five experts from Argentina
Is this a new and unusual partner for UNDP?
No
End
Bonus question: How did the interplay of innovation methods, new forms of data and unusual partners enable you to learn & generate insights, that otherwise you would have not been able to achieve?
The combination of these elements contributes to creating valuable insights on a technology still surrounded by a great deal of uncertainty regarding its impacts. The contact with partners specialized in the topic, together with data gathering from traditional and not traditional sources (podcast, social media, blogs), is allowing us to explore analytics dimensions, variables and indicators that could be helpful to try to make sense of the interaction between AI and democracy. Moreover, by testing an AI tool for politics speech analysis and generation, we hope to create evidence of the possibilities and shortcomings of this technology in relation to democracy. Moreover, our work has a formative effect on the national and regional AI ecosystem. At the same time we are making efforts for studying the AI ecosystem, we are contributing to its formation. By highlighting experts, projects and organizations, and by connecting the dots regarding who is doing what and where, our work is laying the foundations for an emerging ecosystem.
Please upload any further supporting evidence / documents / data you have produced on your frontier challenge that showcase your learnings.
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